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Can IPOs Cause Losses? 6 Hidden IPO Risks Every Beginner Must Know

   


Summary

  • IPOs can cause losses due to overvaluation, weak demand, listing volatility, liquidity issues, and broader market risk.
  • Beginners should not invest only because of hype, GMP, or social media buzz; they should study the RHP, company fundamentals, valuation, and risk factors first.
  • Real 2025 IPO examples show that some IPOs delivered heavy post-listing losses, proving that listing gains are never guaranteed.
  • SME IPOs are especially risky because they often have low liquidity, high volatility, limited institutional tracking, and higher chances of overvaluation.
  • To reduce IPO risk, investors should diversify, invest only a small portion of their portfolio, avoid panic decisions, and treat IPOs as long-term investments rather than quick-money opportunities.

Yes, IPOs can cause losses. Many beginners lose money due to overvaluation risk in IPO, poor IPO demand analysis, sudden listing volatility, or broader market risk in IPO. 

The smart solution? Do proper research by reading the Red Herring Prospectus (RHP), check company fundamentals, avoid hype and Grey Market Premium (GMP) traps, invest only a small portion of your portfolio (1-2%), diversify, and think long-term instead of chasing quick listing gains. Start with small amounts and learn from real examples.

Promoter holding and anchor investor lock-in periods can also impact post-listing price movement. If large shareholders sell after the lock-in period ends, it may create selling pressure on the stock. To understand this better, read our detailed guide on IPO Lock-In Rules.

Raj's Wake-Up Call: How One IPO Dream Turned into a Costly Lesson

Raj, a young software engineer from Kanpur, got excited in late 2025 when a new IPO created massive buzz. “This is my ticket to quick wealth!” he thought. He applied with a big part of his savings without deep research. 

On listing day, the stock opened with a small gain but soon crashed. Months later, it was down over 40%. Raj sold at a loss and regretted ignoring IPO risks for beginners.

This happens to many new investors in India’s busy IPO market. While some IPOs give great returns, others lead to IPO listing losses. In 2025, the median listing gain was just 3.8%, and 59% of mainboard IPOs were trading below their listing price by year-end. Around 23% even listed at a loss on day one.

If you are a beginner, understanding Can IPO can cause losses is very important. This guide explains key risks with clear definitions, real Indian examples, a helpful checklist, and practical tips.

Before a company launches an IPO, it must meet certain eligibility and listing requirements set by exchanges and regulators. These rules help investors understand whether the company qualifies for a public listing. You can read IPO Eligibility Criteria & Listing Requirements for a complete beginner-friendly breakdown.

 

 

What is an IPO and Why Do People Get So Excited?

An IPO (Initial Public Offering) is when a private company sells shares to the public for the first time to raise money for growth. It feels exciting because you can buy early. But this excitement often hides IPO investment risks. Let’s understand the main dangers one by one.

While reading the RHP, always check whether the IPO is a fresh issue, an OFS, or a mix of both. A fresh issue brings money into the company, while an OFS mainly allows existing shareholders to sell their stake. Learn the difference in detail in Fresh Issue vs OFS Explained.

6 Hidden IPO Risks Every Beginner Must Know

 

What is Overvaluation Risk in IPO (IPO Valuation Risk)?

Overvaluation risk in IPOs happens when the company and bankers set the IPO price too high compared to its actual earnings, growth, or industry peers. After listing, when the hype ends, the stock price corrects sharply, causing losses.

This is common in hyped sectors. Beginners see huge subscription numbers and think it’s safe, but it often signals risky IPOs in India, based on future promises rather than current reality.

Tip: Always compare the P/E ratio with similar listed companies.

What is Low Demand IPO Risk?

Low demand IPO risk occurs when there is weak, sustained interest from big institutional investors, even if the IPO gets subscribed initially. After listing, the stock struggles to find buyers, and the price falls.

Proper IPO demand analysis is key — check how much Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) and Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) subscribed.

What is Market Risk in IPO?

Market risk in IPO means that the overall stock market conditions affect the new listing. Bad news, rising interest rates, global events, or a falling market can drag even a good IPO down. IPO market volatility makes new listings extra sensitive.

What is Liquidity Risk in IPO?

Liquidity risk in IPOs is the danger that newly listed shares have few buyers and sellers. You may want to sell, but can’t without accepting a much lower price. This is more common in smaller companies.

What is Listing Volatility?

Listing volatility refers to the wild price swings on the first day and first few weeks. Prices can go up or down 20-50% or more due to short-term traders and speculation. Many beginners buy high during this volatility and then suffer losses when the price settles.

Company-Specific and Long-Term Risks

Many IPO companies are young with unproven models, high debt, or weak profits. After lock-in periods end, promoters or early investors may sell shares, adding more pressure.

Even after choosing a good IPO, retail investors may not always get allotment due to oversubscription. Understanding application strategy, category rules, and common mistakes can improve your chances. Read IPO Allotment Tips before applying.

Real Indian IPO Examples That Caused Losses in 2025

Here is a clear table with actual examples of IPO listing losses:-

IPO Name

Issue Price (₹)

Listing Price (₹)

Fall After Listing

Main Reason for Loss

Glottis Ltd

129

84

-52.78% (by Dec 2025)

Overvaluation + weak demand

Gem Aromatics

-

-

-48.34%

Poor fundamentals, high competition

VMS TMT Ltd

-

-

-46.25%

Low sustained demand, market correction

Om Freight Forwarders

135

~90

-35%+ on listing day

Weak subscription, liquidity issues

 

These cases clearly show IPO downside risk when excitement fades.

 

 

How to Read RHP/DRHP: Beginner Checklist to Avoid Losses

The Red Herring Prospectus (RHP) is the company’s official document. Spend time on these key points:

  • Revenue Growth & Profit Trend: Look for consistent growth and improving profits.
  • Debt Levels: Too much debt can be dangerous.
  • Promoter Holding: High holding after IPO shows confidence.
  • Objects of the Issue: Check how they will use the money (growth is better than just repaying debt).
  • Risk Factors: Read these warnings carefully.
  • Peer Valuation: Compare with similar companies.
  • QIB Subscription: Strong institutional interest is a positive sign.
  • GMP Trap: Don’t trust Grey Market Premium blindly.

This checklist helps you avoid many IPO investing mistakes.

After applying for an IPO, the next important step is checking whether shares have been allotted or not. If you do not get allotment, your blocked amount is usually released back as per the IPO timeline. For the full process, read How to Check IPO Allotment Status.

Why SME IPOs Are Especially Risky in India

SME IPOs (on NSE SME or BSE SME) are riskier for beginners because:-

  • Low Liquidity: Very few trades happen, so big price swings and difficulty in selling.
  • High Volatility: Prices can drop 30-50% quickly.
  • Limited Institutional Tracking: Fewer experts follow them.
  • Lower Disclosure Standards: Less detailed information than mainboard IPOs.
  • Higher Chance of Overvaluation: Many are priced on hype.

In 2025, many SME IPOs underperformed due to these reasons. Beginners should be very careful or avoid them until they have more experience.

Overvaluation is one of the biggest reasons why IPO investors face losses after listing. Before applying, beginners should compare the IPO price with the company’s earnings, growth potential, and listed peers. For a deeper understanding, read IPO Valuation Explained.

How to Protect Yourself: Simple Tips for Beginners

  1. Always do IPO demand analysis and read key parts of the RHP.
  2. Invest only what you can afford to lose.
  3. Wait a few weeks after listing instead of selling immediately due to listing volatility.
  4. Diversify and don’t put everything in one IPO.
  5. Learn from real IPO listing examples.

 

 

Conclusion

Can an IPO cause losses? Yes, definitely. But with knowledge and discipline, you can reduce the risks significantly. Raj learned the hard way and now researches carefully before applying. IPOs can be good opportunities if you treat them as long-term investments rather than quick money schemes. Stay curious, keep learning, and invest wisely.

Sometimes investors act in a hurry and later realize that the IPO valuation, demand, or market conditions are not favorable. In such cases, knowing how to modify or cancel your IPO application before the deadline can help avoid mistakes. Read How to Modify or Cancel IPO Application for the step-by-step process.

 

(Sources: IndMoney, Times of India, Business Standard, Trade Brains, Livemint)

DISCLAIMER: This blog is NOT any buy or sell recommendation. No investment or trading advice is given. The content is only for educational purposes. Always discuss with your SEBI-registered financial advisor for investment-related decisions.



Author

Dr Mukul Agrawal - Stock Market Expert

Founder & Market Analyst, Finowings

Dr. Mukul Agrawal is the Founder of Finowings and a stock market mentor, trader, and investor with over 20 years of real market experience. He is a Guinness World Record holder and has trained thousands of investors in stock market strategies, IPO analysis, and wealth creation.

He specializes in IPO research, fundamental analysis, and helping beginners understand how to invest safely in the stock market. Dr. Agrawal has also authored multiple books on investing and regularly shares insights on IPOs, market trends, and long-term wealth building.


Frequently Asked Questions

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Yes. In 2025, about 23% of IPOs listed at a loss due to listing volatility.
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When the IPO price is set too high compared to the actual business strength, leading to a price correction later.
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When there is not enough ongoing buyer interest after listing, the price will fall.
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Generally, no, due to higher liquidity risk in IPOs and volatility.
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Look at overall market conditions and global news before applying.
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Following hype or GMP without proper research.
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Focus on the key sections in the checklist above to save time and avoid losses.


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