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Bharat Dynamics Share Analysis: Best Defence Stock in 2024

  


Introduction to Bharat Dynamics Limited

Bharat Dynamics Limited (BDL), a mini-ratna Public Sector Undertaking (PSU), was established in 1970. The company specializes in guided missiles and allied defense equipment. Some of their major products include the Prithvi, Akash, and Agni missiles, which have been highly successful.

In this analysis, we will look into BDL's fundamentals, technical aspects, current scenario, and order book. The defense sector is flourishing, and understanding the dynamics of this sector is crucial for informed investment decisions.

 

Revenue Breakdown

BDL's revenue is entirely derived from the defense sector. Specifically, 66.2% of the revenue comes from the government. Although exports have just started, they account for 3.9% of the revenue, thanks to channel partners. This export percentage is expected to rise significantly over the next 5 to 10 years.

Geographically, the company's operations are based in India, with 4% of the revenue coming from other locations.

 

 

Order Book Overview

As of April 1, 2023, BDL's total order book stood at ₹2054 crore. New orders worth ₹1717 crore were received between April 2023 and January 2024, bringing the total order book to ₹2070 crore as of January 31, 2024. The export order position as of January 31, 2024, is ₹2580 crore, indicating significant potential for future growth.

 

 

 

Financial Ratios and Performance

BDL's stock has a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 120, compared to the industry P/E of 68.2, indicating that the stock is relatively expensive. The company's debtors' days have improved to 27 days, while inventory days stand at 584. The cash conversion cycle is 469 days, which is a significant improvement in the defense sector.

For investors, it's crucial to note the company's quarterly results. Although the latest results are awaited, previous quarters showed minor declines, but future quarters are expected to perform better.

Joint Ventures and Future Prospects

In early 2023, BDL entered into two significant joint ventures. The first joint venture, involving companies like BDL, Midhani, HAL, and others, focuses on material and mechanical testing facilities. The second joint venture, involving BDL, HAL, and other entities, aims to develop, operate, and manage defense testing infrastructure for electronic warfare.

These joint ventures mark a significant step towards enhancing India's defense capabilities. If executed well, these initiatives could elevate the company's standing in the global defense market over the next 5 to 10 years.

Investors' Position and Market Interest

As of the latest data, the government's holding in BDL stands at 74.99%, with Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) holding 2.95% and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) holding 12.39%. Public interest has seen a slight increase, indicating growing confidence in the company's prospects.

One critical metric to track is the traded quantity data. Between April 25 and May 16, the average traded quantity was around 91,000. However, from May 18 to May 24, this number surged to around 50 lakh, indicating increased market interest.

 

Stock Split and Its Impact

BDL recently underwent a stock split in a 2:1 ratio, which caused the stock price to adjust accordingly. This split aimed to make the stock more accessible to retail investors. Post-split, the stock price appeared to drop to ₹50, but this was merely an adjustment.

Currently trading at around ₹1500, the stock remains an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on the defense sector's growth.

 

Conclusion

BDL is a well-performing company with a robust order book and promising joint ventures. The focus on exports and improved financial metrics make it a compelling investment opportunity. However, potential investors should consider the stock's high valuation and market volatility.

By keeping an eye on traded quantities and understanding the impact of stock splits, investors can make informed decisions. The defense sector's future looks bright, and BDL is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth.

Disclaimer: This Stock Analysis is only for informational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your research and consult with a financial advisor.

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Frequently Asked Questions

+

Bharat Dynamics Limited (BDL) is a mini-ratna Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) established in 1970. The company specializes in guided missiles and allied defense equipment. Some of their major products include the Prithvi, Akash, and Agni missiles, which have been highly successful in the defense sector.

+

BDL's revenue is entirely derived from the defense sector, with 66.2% coming from the government and 3.9% from exports. The export percentage is expected to rise significantly over the next 5 to 10 years. As of January 31, 2024, BDL's total order book stood at ₹2070 crore, with new orders worth ₹1717 crore received between April 2023 and January 2024. The export order position is ₹2580 crore, indicating significant potential for future growth.

+

BDL has a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 120, which is higher compared to the industry P/E of 68.2, indicating that the stock is relatively expensive. The company's debtors' days have improved to 27 days, with inventory days at 584. The cash conversion cycle is 469 days, which is a significant improvement in the defense sector. The latest quarterly results are awaited, but previous quarters showed minor declines with expectations for better future performance.

+

In early 2023, BDL entered into two significant joint ventures. The first involves companies like BDL, Midhani, and HAL focusing on material and mechanical testing facilities. The second joint venture with BDL, HAL, and other entities aims to develop, operate, and manage defense testing infrastructure for electronic warfare. These joint ventures are expected to enhance India's defense capabilities and elevate BDL's standing in the global defense market over the next 5 to 10 years.

+

BDL recently underwent a stock split in a 2:1 ratio, which adjusted the stock price accordingly. Post-split, the stock price appeared to drop to ₹50, but this was merely an adjustment. Currently trading at around ₹1500, the stock has become more accessible to retail investors. The average traded quantity increased significantly, indicating increased market interest. This stock split and the high valuation make BDL an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on the defense sector's growth.



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